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3yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 88

Uttoxeter · QuinnBet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 168y

#8

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ran out 2 from home (length in front at time) in 3-runner race at Newton Abbot hurdling debut in June. No-show at bigger prices either start since. Should at least benefit from switch to low-grade handicap, for all he's 3 lb out of the weights.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength45%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Uttoxeter 26/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m7f168y Gd 154 · HIGHER CLASS26/0744 @ Sedgefield 29/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 2m178y Goo 156 · HIGHER CLASS29/094projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-29SedgefieldJack Tudor45th4th+1
2026-07-26UttoxeterJack Tudor47th6th+1
2026-06-23Newton AbbotJack Tudor4+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0729/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 6-6 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength42%

Delivery trend +8.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/07/20267th25/10%25%+0.25
29/09/20265th80/10%33%+0.33