11
Solway Staree
8yo Mare · 10-2 · OR 66
Uttoxeter · QuinnBet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 168y
#9
Rank
Odds
150/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-27 | Uttoxeter | Charlie Maggs | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Perth | Peter Kavanagh | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-09-25 | Perth | Peter Kavanagh | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-11 | Uttoxeter | Peter Kavanagh | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2024-12-14 | Newcastle | Peter Kavanagh | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-11-14 | Sedgefield | Peter Kavanagh | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 7-10 · tight 76/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength11%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/2023 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 26/09/2024 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 28/10/2024 | 13th | 100/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 14/11/2024 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 14/12/2024 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 11/09/2025 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/09/2025 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 21/10/2025 | 8th | 300/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/11/2025 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |