7
Olbia Castelets
2yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Polyxo - Attele · 1m 2f 205y
#7
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Caen | M Mottier | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-28 | Enghien | T Ouvrie | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-09-11 | Vincennes | T Ouvrie | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-21 | Cabourg | T Ouvrie | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 8-8 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength26%
Delivery trend -14.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 18/10/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |