8

On The Beach

2yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Polyxo - Attele · 1m 2f 205y

#3

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength51%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 0 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Vincennes 18/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS18/093
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-15EnghienM Abrivard2+2
2026-10-08EnghienW Bigeon3+1
2026-09-18VincennesM Pean33rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength65%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/09/20263rd28/10%78%+0.78