9
Ouragane Jenilou
2yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Polyxo - Attele · 1m 2f 205y
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Enghien | G Junod | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-09-24 | Laval | G Junod | 6 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 10-10 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -63.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 08/10/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |