7
Kacey Bell
6yo Mare · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Mercator - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#12
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Enghien | Mme M Hawas | 5 | −1 | ||
| 2026-08-21 | Divonne Les Bains | Mme A Bourgoin | 6 | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-06-22 | Le Croise-Laroche | Mme A Bourgoin | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Vincennes | Mlle P Prod'homme | 6 | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-05-31 | Reims | Mme A Bourgoin | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Strasbourg | Mme A Bourgoin | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 12-14 · tight 84/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -9.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 08/02/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 07/03/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 02/04/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 13/05/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.20 |
| 31/05/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 12/06/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 30% | -0.46 |
| 22/06/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 30% | +0.14 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |