12
Kaliakie Phedo
6yo Mare · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Mercator - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
72%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Enghien | B Rochard | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-10-03 | Laval | B Rochard | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-09-20 | Cholet | S Gohier | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Les Sables | H Touvais | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Vincennes | F Lagadeuc | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Chateaubriant | H Touvais | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength87%
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/2025 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 20/05/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 93% | +0.41 |
| 03/11/2025 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 17/03/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 22/04/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 30/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 89% | +0.02 |
| 26/08/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 20/09/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 12/10/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |