4

Kanelle Star

6yo Mare · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Mercator - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#13

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼3
Strength10%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +3.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Vincennes 20/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 020/0344 @ Vincennes 30/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 04 @ Le Mans 21/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 021/054C0 @ La Capelle 14/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 06/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 06/07C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 13/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 10/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 010/08C?1 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 22/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Enghien 12/10/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 012/10C?projClass-projected finish: 11th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-12EnghienM Abrivard?7th7th0
2026-08-22Cagnes-sur-MerM Izzo19th5th+3
2026-08-10Cagnes-sur-MerM Izzo?6th6th0
2026-07-27Cagnes-sur-MerM Izzo?0
2026-07-13Cagnes-sur-MerM Izzo?2nd2nd0
2026-07-06Cagnes-sur-MerM Izzo?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0314/0610/0812/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength85%

Delivery trend +2.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/03/202610th40/10%18%+0.18
30/04/20266th14/126%44%+0.18
21/05/20268th33/10%46%+0.46
14/06/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
06/07/20265th9/276%73%-0.03
13/07/20262nd18/15%89%+0.84
10/08/20266th33/10%29%+0.29
22/08/20269th80/10%33%+0.33
12/10/20267th28/10%45%+0.45