10
Karla Jallerie
6yo Mare · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Mercator - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#7
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Angers | E Raffin | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-21 | Le Mans | J Balu | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Laval | J Balu | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-09 | Meslay Du Maine | J Balu | 6 | 10th | 12th | −2 |
| 2026-01-14 | Cordemais | J Balu | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-18 | Vincennes | M Mottier | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 4-13 · tight 54/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength39%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/2024 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 30/08/2024 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 02/01/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 73% | +0.31 |
| 13/01/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 12/06/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 15/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 14/01/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 09/04/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 21/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |