14

Kassiopeia

6yo Mare · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Mercator - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#6

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength36%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vichy 02/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 02/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 05/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 21/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 021/09C?C0 @ Vincennes 17/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 28/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 028/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 20/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 03 @ Vincennes 31/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS31/0133 @ Vincennes 27/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Laval 30/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 030/09C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-30LavalK Champenois?8th8th0
2026-02-27VincennesA Barrier34th3rd+1
2026-01-31VincennesP Y Verva31st0th+1
2025-12-20VincennesA Barrier?3rd3rd0
2025-11-28VincennesM Mottier?4th4th0
2025-11-17VincennesA Barrier?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0817/1131/0130/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 90/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/08/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
05/09/20257th6/168%60%-0.08
21/09/20255th9/153%64%+0.11
17/11/20252nd11/271%93%+0.22
28/11/20254th15/261%70%+0.09
20/12/20253rd16/116%87%+0.71
31/01/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
27/02/20264th9/153%79%+0.26
30/09/20268th40/10%46%+0.46