5
Kelle Haufor
6yo Mare · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Mercator - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#4
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Cabourg | P Sorais | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-10-03 | Laval | F Boudet | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Vincennes | D Bonne | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-23 | Enghien | D Bonne | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Vincennes | D Bonne | 5 | −1 | ||
| 2026-04-04 | Vincennes | D Bonne | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 90/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/2025 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 18/03/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 93% | +0.09 |
| 03/11/2025 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 26/11/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 10/03/2026 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 04/04/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 93% | +0.33 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 03/10/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 14/10/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |