2
Kotkita Girl
6yo Mare · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Mercator - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#2
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Laval | L Chevrollier | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Laval | E Raffin | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Vincennes | D Bonne | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-04 | Vincennes | E Raffin | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-12-06 | Vincennes | E Raffin | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Vincennes | E Raffin | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 13-14 · tight 87/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 20/04/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 92% | +0.24 |
| 22/05/2025 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 15% | -0.00 |
| 04/11/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 22/11/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 06/12/2025 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 53% | -0.15 |
| 04/01/2026 | 12th | 4/1 | 79% | 21% | -0.58 |
| 18/02/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 73% | -0.14 |
| 03/10/2026 | 13th | 80/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |