11
Kunamatata
6yo Mare · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Mercator - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#3
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Enghien | D Grimault | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-09-28 | Craon | M Pean | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Enghien | W Bigeon | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Laval | C Herivaux | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Vincennes | C Herivaux | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Vincennes | C Herivaux | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 59/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength75%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 87% | +0.10 |
| 20/12/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 14/01/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 31/01/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 15/02/2026 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 28/03/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 78% | -0.09 |
| 28/09/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 15/10/2026 | 3rd | 10/11 | 95% | 83% | -0.12 |