11
Ivon De La Monerie
8yo Gelding · 0-0 · Draw 11
Vincennes · Prix Barbara - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#10
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Enghien | F Nivard | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-10 | Mauquenchy | S Baude | 5 | −1 | ||
| 2026-07-30 | La Capelle | David Lefevre | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Enghien | D Bonne | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Enghien | F Nivard | 5 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Chartres | F Nivard | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 2-9 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength50%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 3rd | 80/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 06/10/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 27/10/2025 | 14th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 08/05/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 17/06/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 04/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 30/07/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 05/10/2026 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |