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5

Jalna Girl

7yo Mare · 0-0 · Draw 5

Vincennes · Prix Barbara - Attele · 1m 2f 96y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

94%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength12%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 21/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 021/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 27/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 05 @ Vincennes 22/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 022/0157 @ Vincennes 20/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Laval 11/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 011/03C?C0 @ Angers 01/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m3f149y Std 0C0 @ Cordemais 15/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 015/04C?5 @ Nantes 14/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0C0 @ Chateaubriant 07/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 07/08C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-07ChateaubriantE Raffin?4th4th0
2026-05-24Saint-MaloM Mottier?0
2026-05-14NantesE Raffin51st2nd−1
2026-04-15CordemaisA Raffin?1st1st0
2026-04-01AngersE Raffin?2nd2nd0
2026-03-11LavalA Raffin?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/1220/0215/047/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 2-6 · tight 70/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength68%

Delivery trend +1.0% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/12/20256th4/179%50%-0.29
27/12/20252nd4/179%90%+0.11
22/01/20264th5/287%79%-0.08
20/02/20261st13/891%100%+0.09
11/03/20261st15/890%100%+0.10
01/04/20262nd9/276%92%+0.15
15/04/20261st4/596%100%+0.04
14/05/20261st4/797%100%+0.03
07/08/20264th4/179%63%-0.16