6
Joey Du Noyer
7yo Gelding · 0-0 · Draw 6
Vincennes · Prix Barbara - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#5
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Vincennes | F Nivard | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Les Sables | F Desmigneux | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Les Sables | F Nivard | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Graignes | F Lecanu | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Laval | F Nivard | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-09 | Graignes | A Lamy | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 29/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength56%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/12/2025 | 15th | 66/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 28/12/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 18/01/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 09/02/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 05/03/2026 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 94% | -0.02 |
| 28/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 92% | -0.02 |
| 06/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 91% | +0.44 |
| 21/08/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.39 |
| 02/10/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |