10
Mage Des Monts
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Merak - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#16
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Enghien | P ph Ploquin | 5 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | Vincennes | M Abrivard | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Enghien | Y Lebourgeois | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Mauquenchy | G Gelormini | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | La Capelle | Th Dromigny | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-27 | Enghien | Th Dromigny | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1719% of fieldRange 4-14 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength49%
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 04/02/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 24/02/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 27/06/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 05/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 62% | +0.35 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 77% | +0.35 |
| 05/09/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 26/09/2026 | 15th | 28/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |