6

Major De La Basle

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Merak - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#9

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength4%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cabourg 22/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 022/12C?6 @ Mauquenchy 12/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 012/016C0 @ Maure De Bretagne 02/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 02/02C?C0 @ Cordemais 08/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 08/03C?C0 @ Enghien 17/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 017/03C?C0 @ Mauquenchy 05/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 05/08C?C0 @ Angers 09/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m7f117y Std 09/09C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09AngersA Barrier?5th5th0
2026-08-05MauquenchyF Ouvrie?2nd2nd0
2026-03-17EnghienF Desmigneux?4th4th0
2026-03-08CordemaisA Barrier?1st1st0
2026-02-02Maure De BretagneF Desmigneux?2nd2nd0
2026-01-12MauquenchyJ Debost63rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/128/039/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1744% of fieldRange 10-15 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength29%

Delivery trend +0.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 17.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/12/20257th28/10%45%+0.45
12/01/20263rd10/147%71%+0.24
02/02/20262nd4/179%88%+0.09
08/03/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
17/03/20264th11/142%73%+0.31
05/08/20262nd8/158%92%+0.34
09/09/20265th14/126%60%+0.34