6

Major De La Basle
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Merak - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#9
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength4%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Angers | A Barrier | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Mauquenchy | F Ouvrie | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Enghien | F Desmigneux | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Cordemais | A Barrier | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-02 | Maure De Bretagne | F Desmigneux | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-12 | Mauquenchy | J Debost | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1744% of fieldRange 10-15 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength29%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/12/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 12/01/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 02/02/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 08/03/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 17/03/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 73% | +0.31 |
| 05/08/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 09/09/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |