13
Marquis La Mazure
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Merak - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#11
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Les Sables | E Raffin | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-09-26 | Enghien | Ch Dreux | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Cabourg | T Le Beller | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Meslay Du Maine | Ch Dreux | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Vincennes | M Beauvais | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-03 | Vincennes | Ch Dreux | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1763% of fieldRange 1-13 · tight 48/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength62%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/12/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 08/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 03/02/2026 | 5th | 11/8 | 93% | 43% | -0.50 |
| 25/02/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 17/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 90% | -0.03 |
| 11/08/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 56% | +0.03 |
| 26/09/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |