2
Mec De Mutrecy
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Merak - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Pornichet | M Goetz | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Pornichet | P ph Ploquin | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | La Capelle | A Abrivard | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-05 | Laval | A Abrivard | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Feurs | Alexandre Bodin | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | La Capelle | A Collette | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1725% of fieldRange 14-17 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -12.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 12/06/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 20/08/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 91% | +0.36 |
| 19/09/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 46% | -0.14 |