8
Millesime Star
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Merak - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#15
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Enghien | M Izzo | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-26 | Enghien | M Izzo | 5 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | M Izzo | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | M Izzo | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-10 | Caen | M Lenoir | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Le Mans | M Izzo | 5 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1731% of fieldRange 3-13 · tight 58/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength57%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 26/11/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 12/12/2025 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 21/05/2026 | 11th | 150/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 10/06/2026 | 11th | 125/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 10/08/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 26/09/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 12/10/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |