15
Mustang Haufor
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Merak - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Chartres | C H J Bigeon | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-24 | Laval | F Boudet | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Chateaubriant | F Boudet | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Pornichet | E Raffin | 6 | −1 | ||
| 2026-07-09 | Saint-Malo | F Boudet | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1750% of fieldRange 6-17 · tight 49/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength27%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 07/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 79% | +0.63 |
| 24/09/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 87% | +0.26 |
| 15/10/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |