11
Mythique Josselyn
4yo Colt · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Merak - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | Vincennes | A Abrivard | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-10-12 | Enghien | N Bazire | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-09-27 | Vincennes | Ch Martens | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-22 | Vincennes | N Bazire | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Vincennes | N Bazire | 4 | +1 | ||
| 2026-02-06 | Vincennes | A Abrivard | 4 | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1794% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 73/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength89%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |
| 08/12/2025 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 24/12/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 11/01/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 85% | +0.06 |
| 22/02/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 20/10/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |