6
Mahiz De Guez
4yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Mebsuta - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#4
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | Vincennes | A Abrivard | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Vincennes | N Bazire | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-20 | Vincennes | D Thomain | 3 | +1 | ||
| 2026-02-25 | Vincennes | A Abrivard | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-10 | Vincennes | Mme T Mathias-maisonnette | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-01-19 | Vincennes | A Abrivard | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1744% of fieldRange 15-17 · tight 81/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 93% | +0.03 |
| 14/08/2025 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 19/01/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 86% | -0.09 |
| 10/02/2026 | 13th | 80/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 25/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 91% | -0.02 |
| 21/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 89% | -0.02 |