Marie Di Leone
4yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Mebsuta - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#14
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Vincennes | P ph Ploquin | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-28 | Craon | A Le Bec | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Vincennes | B Rochard | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Vincennes | A Barrier | 1 | 12th | 8th | +3 |
| 2026-01-25 | Vincennes | A Barrier | 1 | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-01-10 | Vincennes | A Collette | 2 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 25/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 92% | +0.50 |
| 19/12/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 92% | +0.26 |
| 10/01/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 70% | +0.04 |
| 25/01/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 21/03/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 07/04/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 28/09/2026 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 41% | +0.41 |
| 16/10/2026 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 94% | +0.94 |