7

Mi Fa Sol
4yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Mebsuta - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Vincennes | F Nivard | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-23 | Argentan | F Nivard | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-11 | Vincennes | F Nivard | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Cabourg | S Baude | 6 | −2 | ||
| 2026-06-12 | Vincennes | F Nivard | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Vincennes | F Nivard | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1775% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 66/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength93%
Delivery trend +7.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/2025 | 5th | 8/15 | 97% | 64% | -0.34 |
| 05/12/2025 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 46% | -0.39 |
| 19/03/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 14/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 94% | -0.00 |
| 02/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 90% | +0.02 |
| 12/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 93% | +0.51 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 88% | +0.04 |
| 23/09/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 76% | +0.76 |
| 16/10/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.02 |