4

Milantera

4yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Mebsuta - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#7

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength30%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Vincennes 16/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13016/024C0 @ Cordemais 15/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 130C0 @ Chateaubriant 22/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 022/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 12/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 1344 @ Vincennes 12/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 012/0643 @ Agen 20/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f176y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Vincennes 11/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 18 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 011/0943 @ Vincennes 18/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Vincennes 16/10/2026 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 016/10C?projClass-projected finish: 11th of 17
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-16VincennesA Barrier?3rd3rd0
2026-09-18VincennesE Raffin312th11th+1
2026-09-11VincennesE Raffin45th5th0
2026-08-19LavalY Lebourgeois?0
2026-08-01EnghienE Raffin?0
2026-06-20AgenT Ouvrie34th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0212/0511/0916/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1738% of fieldRange 7-17 · tight 58/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength24%

Delivery trend -3.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/02/20264th20/10%75%+0.75
15/04/20269th33/10%43%+0.43
22/04/20266th80/10%55%+0.55
12/05/20262nd7/282%88%+0.06
12/06/20263rd25/10%86%+0.86
20/06/20264th15/261%75%+0.14
11/09/20265th15/261%76%+0.16
18/09/202612th14/126%27%+0.00
16/10/20263rd16/116%88%+0.72