
Milantera
4yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Mebsuta - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#7
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Vincennes | A Barrier | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-18 | Vincennes | E Raffin | 3 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-09-11 | Vincennes | E Raffin | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Laval | Y Lebourgeois | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-01 | Enghien | E Raffin | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-20 | Agen | T Ouvrie | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 15/04/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 22/04/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 12/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 12/06/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 11/09/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 76% | +0.16 |
| 18/09/2026 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 27% | +0.00 |
| 16/10/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |