17
Mountain
4yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Mebsuta - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
60%
Place Prob
52%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Caen | J Dubois | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Enghien | E Raffin | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Vincennes | E Raffin | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vincennes | J Dubois | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Saint Brieuc | J Dubois | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-08-19 | Cabourg | J Dubois | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 17100% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 57/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength80%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/2024 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 24/07/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 73% | -0.04 |
| 30/04/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 13/05/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 12/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 18/07/2026 | 10th | 11/10 | 94% | 40% | -0.54 |
| 18/10/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 85% | +0.37 |