2
Mygirl Des Forges
4yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Mebsuta - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#15
Rank
Odds
150/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Enghien | M Mottier | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Laval | P ph Ploquin | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-01 | Enghien | P ph Ploquin | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Enghien | P ph Ploquin | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Vincennes | P ph Ploquin | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-15 | Vincennes | P ph Ploquin | 3 | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 170% of fieldRange 13-17 · tight 79/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 17th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 16/05/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 22/06/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 11/10/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 31/03/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 21/04/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 11/07/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 01/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 05/10/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 90% | +0.01 |