9

Maggiotta

4yo Filly · 9-8

Vincennes · Prix Toucan - Monte · 1m 5f 92y

#11

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength44%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Enghien 26/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 12526/10C?4 @ Vincennes 05/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Vincennes 19/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13219/01C?C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 26/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 04 @ Vincennes 16/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS16/0244 @ Vincennes 30/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Vincennes 12/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 13212/05C?4 @ Vincennes 17/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 134 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Enghien 15/10/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f40y Std 134 · HIGHER CLASS15/104projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-15EnghienCl Frecelle46th5th+1
2026-09-17VincennesE Raffin47th6th+1
2026-05-12VincennesMlle L Planchenault?6th6th0
2026-04-30VincennesMlle L Planchenault44th3rd+1
2026-02-16VincennesMlle L Planchenault46th5th+1
2026-02-06VincennesMlle L Planchenault3+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/1026/0112/0515/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 2-10 · tight 47/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength50%

Delivery trend +4.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/10/20255th14/126%64%+0.37
05/01/20264th9/153%57%+0.05
19/01/20265th9/153%43%-0.10
26/01/20268th40/10%0%0.00
16/02/20266th80/10%58%+0.58
30/04/20264th40/10%73%+0.73
12/05/20266th28/10%38%+0.38
17/09/20267th12/137%45%+0.09
15/10/20266th40/10%55%+0.55