Melinda Du Loisir
4yo Filly · 9-8
Vincennes · Prix Toucan - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#2
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
65%
Place Prob
56%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Caen | Guillaume Martin | 4 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-09-17 | Vincennes | Guillaume Martin | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-26 | Les Sables | Guillaume Martin | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-05-13 | Vincennes | Mlle O Briand | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-03-21 | Vincennes | Mlle O Briand | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-02-12 | Vincennes | Mlle O Briand | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -17.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/2025 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 13/05/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 26/08/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/09/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 55% | -0.11 |
| 10/10/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |