3

Modig Viking

4yo Filly · 9-8

Vincennes · Prix Toucan - Monte · 1m 5f 92y

#7

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength12%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 11/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 12811/12C?4 @ Vincennes 16/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 134 · HIGHER CLASS16/024C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 23/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 13423/03C?C0 @ La Capelle 03/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 1343/05C?C0 @ Enghien 27/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f40y Std 13427/06C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-27EnghienTh Dromigny?4th4th0
2026-05-03La CapelleTh Dromigny?2nd2nd0
2026-03-23Le Croise-LarocheTh Dromigny?2nd2nd0
2026-02-16VincennesA Collette45th4th+1
2026-02-03VincennesA Collette?0
2025-12-11VincennesA Collette?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/1216/0223/033/0527/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 7-11 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength7%

Delivery trend -10.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/12/20252nd12/137%92%+0.55
16/02/20265th50/10%67%+0.67
23/03/20262nd3/184%89%+0.05
03/05/20262nd5/174%92%+0.18
27/06/20264th10/147%73%+0.25