
Modig Viking
4yo Filly · 9-8
Vincennes · Prix Toucan - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#7
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Enghien | Th Dromigny | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | La Capelle | Th Dromigny | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Le Croise-Laroche | Th Dromigny | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-16 | Vincennes | A Collette | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-02-03 | Vincennes | A Collette | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-11 | Vincennes | A Collette | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -10.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 16/02/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 23/03/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 92% | +0.18 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.25 |