1
Monalisa Celo
4yo Filly · 9-8
Vincennes · Prix Toucan - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#9
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength4%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Enghien | A Collette | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-09-16 | Cabourg | A Collette | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Vire | Ch Clin | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-20 | Caen | Ch Clin | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-05 | Cabourg | Ch Clin | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-05-25 | Argentan | Ch Clin | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 10-11 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -39.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 16/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 26/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |