6

Navaja De Corday
3yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Livadie - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Caen | Antoine Trihollet | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-09-22 | Vincennes | Y Lebourgeois | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-09-06 | Vire | Antoine Trihollet | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Caen | Y Lebourgeois | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-27 | Enghien | Antoine Trihollet | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 06/09/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 10/10/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 46% | +0.41 |