Nelly De Claraflor
3yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Livadie - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#6
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Enghien | E De Jesus | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-09 | Vincennes | E De Jesus | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Vincennes | E De Jesus | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Cherbourg | E De Jesus | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Caen | E De Jesus | 6 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-02-16 | Vincennes | E De Jesus | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 19/03/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 06/04/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 82% | +0.21 |
| 12/05/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 09/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 78% | +0.25 |
| 26/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |