8
Nuit De Mai
3yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Livadie - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#13
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Vincennes | S Baude | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Enghien | S Baude | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-16 | Enghien | S Baude | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Caen | S Baude | 5 | −1 | ||
| 2026-03-30 | Caen | S Baude | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 6-6 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength61%
Delivery trend -11.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |