5
Nuroseda De Warnoc
3yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Livadie - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#9
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Vincennes | P Y Verva | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Enghien | P Y Verva | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Reims | P Y Verva | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | La Capelle | J M Chaineux | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 78/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 29/09/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |