14
Nash And Steel
3yo Gelding · 9-6
Vincennes · Prix Ohio - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
57%
Place Prob
39%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Vichy | T Aguiar | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-22 | Saint Galmier | Andrea Roussel | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Vichy | A Chapey | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 7-13 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength13%
Delivery trend -48.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06/2026 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 22/08/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 19/09/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |