13

Nino D'amour
3yo Gelding · 9-6
Vincennes · Prix Ohio - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#8
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Enghien | Cl Frecelle | 4 | +1 | ||
| 2026-07-07 | La Capelle | Cl Frecelle | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Enghien | Cl Frecelle | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-10 | Vincennes | Cl Frecelle | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 13-13 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -103.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/02/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 07/07/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 58% | -0.26 |