12
Nisko D'elce
3yo Gelding · 9-6
Vincennes · Prix Ohio - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
28%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Vincennes | A Abrivard | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-09-28 | Enghien | A Abrivard | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-09-03 | Les Sables | A Abrivard | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Enghien | F Lagadeuc | 4 | +1 | ||
| 2026-06-09 | Cholet | L Cl Abrivard | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 50/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength98%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.39 |