Florida Dreams
8yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 119
Wetherby · bet365 'Chasing Excellence' Beginners' Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 3f 85y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Hamilton | K Stott | 5 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-09-06 | York | Mikey Sheehy | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Hamilton | Mikey Sheehy | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-10 | Hamilton | K Stott | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Haydock | K Stott | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Hexham | P W Wadge | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +7.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 2. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/12/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 01/02/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 58% | -0.23 |
| 28/02/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 29% | -0.57 |
| 09/05/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 36% | -0.35 |
| 21/05/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 10/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 25/06/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 06/09/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.11 |
| 21/09/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |