1

I've Got A Friend

5yo Gelding · 11-4

Wetherby · Best Odds Guaranteed At bet365 Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 3f 154y

#1

Rank

Odds

6/5

Win Prob

62%

Place Prob

56%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

2-2 in bumpers this season, latterly holding on gamely under Brian Hughes at Hexham (2m, good to soft) 3 weeks ago. Decent hurdling prospect.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Worcester 23/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 2m Gd 15623/0854 @ Hexham 10/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 2m48y Gd 16310/104projClass-projected finish: 1st of 2
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-10HexhamB S Hughes41st1st0
2026-08-23WorcesterJames Davies51st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0810/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 3-3 · tight 71/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength57%

Delivery trend -44.1% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/08/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
10/10/20261st13/891%100%+0.09