Handlethekettle
7yo Gelding · 11-6 · OR 122
Wetherby · bet365 Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 154y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
69%
Place Prob
60%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 2.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Worcester | G Sheehan | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-07-07 | Worcester | G Sheehan | 2 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-06-18 | Worcester | G Sheehan | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-05-22 | Ffos Las | G Sheehan | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-04-23 | Taunton | G Sheehan | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2024-10-11 | Chepstow | G Sheehan | 1 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 4. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2024 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 16/09/2024 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 11/10/2024 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 33% | -0.09 |
| 23/04/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 22/05/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 0% | -0.92 |
| 18/06/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 07/07/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |