Spot On Soph
10yo Mare · 10-7 · OR 109
Wetherby · bet365 Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 154y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Market Rasen | Rebecca Hitchen | 5 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-10-01 | Southwell | Rebecca Hitchen | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-09-09 | Sedgefield | Rebecca Hitchen | 5 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-03-20 | Musselburgh | Jonathan England | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-02-24 | Catterick | Jonathan England | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Market Rasen | Tom Midgley | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 4.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 08/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 27/10/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 13/11/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 24/02/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 20/03/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 09/09/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 01/10/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 08/10/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 86% | -0.05 |