3

Washington

10yo Gelding · 11-6 · OR 122

Wetherby · bet365 Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 154y

#4

Rank

Odds

13/8

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Was bidding to enhance excellent record fresh at Chepstow when 14¼-length seventh in a loaded renewal of the Silver Trophy (19.5f) earlier this month. Proved plenty of ability remains and that he stays this far. Interesting with sights lowered, even with yard relatively quiet at present.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength36%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Newbury 08/02/2025 · Pos 13th of 17 · OR 133 · 2m69y Sft 157 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/02/2025 · OR 133 par8/021OR 1332 @ Aintree 04/04/2025 · Pos 10th of 17 · OR 131 · 2m103y Gd 152 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/04/2025 · OR 131 par3 @ Chepstow 12/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 128 · 2m11y Gd 166 · beat its mark12/10/2025 · OR 128 par12/103OR 1282 @ Ascot 01/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 132 · 1m7f157y Goo 163 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 132 par2 @ Doncaster 13/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 132 · 2m128y Goo 166 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/12/2025 · OR 132 par13/122OR 1323 @ Kempton 27/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 131 · 2m Gd 163 · below its mark27/12/2025 · OR 131 par3 @ Kempton 10/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 129 · 2m Goo 167 · below its mark10/01/2026 · OR 129 par10/013OR 1291 @ Punchestown 28/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 21 · OR 127 · 2m132y Yie 144 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/04/2026 · OR 127 par1 @ Chepstow 10/10/2026 · Pos 7th of 17 · OR 124 · 2m3f100y Goo 144 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/10/2026 · OR 124 par10/101OR 124projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-10ChepstowPaul O'Brien17th5th+2
2026-04-28PunchestownPaul O'Brien110th8th+2
2026-01-10KemptonMegan Fox38th8th0
2025-12-27KemptonMegan Fox35th5th0
2025-12-13DoncasterMegan Fox27th6th+1
2025-11-01AscotPaul O'Brien211th10th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/021/1110/0110/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 40% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 78/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 4. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/02/202513th14/126%25%-0.01
04/04/202510th22/10%44%+0.44
12/10/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
01/11/202511th15/261%0%-0.61
13/12/20257th6/168%25%-0.43
27/12/20255th25/10%20%+0.20
10/01/20268th40/10%0%0.00
28/04/202610th40/10%55%+0.55
10/10/20267th18/15%63%+0.57