
Washington
10yo Gelding · 11-6 · OR 122
Wetherby · bet365 Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 154y
#4
Rank
Odds
13/8
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Chepstow | Paul O'Brien | 1 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-04-28 | Punchestown | Paul O'Brien | 1 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-01-10 | Kempton | Megan Fox | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Kempton | Megan Fox | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Doncaster | Megan Fox | 2 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Ascot | Paul O'Brien | 2 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 4. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2025 | 13th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 04/04/2025 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 12/10/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 01/11/2025 | 11th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 13/12/2025 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 27/12/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 10/01/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/04/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 10/10/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 63% | +0.57 |