2
Confused
3yo Gelding · 11-0
Wetherby · Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Wensleydale Juvenile Hurdle (Listed) (GBB Race) · 2m
#8
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 11.9 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C7.2
Today: 1
Class gap: -6.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Chepstow | Harry Cobden | 4 | 6th | 10th | −3 |
| 2026-07-27 | Galway | Shane Foley | BHA88 | 14th | 24th | −8 |
| 2026-07-11 | Navan | Keithen Kennedy | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Gowran Park | Shane Foley | ? | 1st | 10th | −7 |
| 2026-04-24 | Cork | Shane Foley | ? | 4th | 13th | −7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 8-8 · tight 85/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 01/06/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 27/07/2026 | 14th | 16/1 | 16% | 7% | -0.09 |
| 10/10/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |