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Minella Rockett

3yo Gelding · 11-0

Wetherby · Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Wensleydale Juvenile Hurdle (Listed) (GBB Race) · 2m

#7

Rank

Odds

15/8

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Interesting Irish raider who knew his job when successful on hurdling debut at Limerick (2m) in July. Progressed to make it a cross-code hat-trick at Naas the following month and useful form in defeat on the Flat more recently. Better to come back hurdling and may well make it 2-2 in this sphere.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲8
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 11.4 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.4
Today: 1
Class gap: -7.6
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 07/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m Std 1317/11C8C8 @ Dundalk 21/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 74 · 1m Std 131 · below its mark21/11/2025 · OR 74 parBHA83 @ Navan 16/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 83 · 1m2f40y Yie 134 · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 83 par16/0583OR 83C8 @ Dundalk 26/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 82 · 1m4f Std 134 · below its mark26/05/2026 · OR 82 parC8 @ Limerick 02/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 2m110y Gd 1542/07C8BHA80 @ Galway 29/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 80 · 1m123y Yie 130 · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 80 parBHA85 @ Naas 23/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 85 · 1m2f110y Goo 121 · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 85 par23/0885OR 85BHA88 @ Punchestown 15/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 88 · 1m1f30y Goo 131 · below its mark15/09/2026 · OR 88 parBHA90 @ Roscommon 12/10/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 90 · 1m2f95y Sft 138 · below its mark12/10/2026 · OR 90 par12/1090OR 90projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-12RoscommonReese HolohanBHA904th14th−8
2026-09-15PunchestownSeamie HeffernanBHA882nd12th−8
2026-08-23NaasReese HolohanBHA851st10th−8
2026-07-29GalwayJ M SheridanBHA801st10th−7
2026-07-02LimerickDaniel King?1st10th−7
2026-05-26DundalkSeamie Heffernan?5th14th−7

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/1126/0523/0812/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 55/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength67%

Delivery trend -5.1% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/11/20253rd15/261%83%+0.23
21/11/20252nd11/271%92%+0.21
16/05/20264th8/158%50%-0.08
26/05/20265th9/488%56%-0.33
02/07/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06
29/07/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
23/08/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
15/09/20262nd5/493%80%-0.13
12/10/20264th9/488%25%-0.63