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Pass The Buck

3yo Gelding · 11-0

Wetherby · Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Wensleydale Juvenile Hurdle (Listed) (GBB Race) · 2m

#5

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair winner of a Fairyhouse claimer (1¼m) final start for Joseph O'Brien. No match for Vietnorm on hurdling debut prior to a much-improved second to an above-average debutant at Chepstow latest. Needs more again but has previously responded well to a headgear change (wears first-time blinkers here).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲5
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -5.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 24/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m Std 13024/10C8C8 @ Galway 27/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 7f Sft 133C8 @ Dundalk 05/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 6f Std 1305/11C8BHA68 @ Curragh 19/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 68 · 1m Sft 127 · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 68 parC8 @ Ballinrobe 08/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 67 · 1m1f133y Goo 134 · below its mark08/05/2026 · OR 67 par8/05C8OR 67BHA66 @ Limerick 10/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 66 · 2m1f Yie 119 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 66 parC7 @ Fairyhouse 08/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 69 · 1m2f Goo 140 · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 69 par8/07C7OR 693 @ Market Rasen 26/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 2m125y Gd 1564 @ Chepstow 10/10/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 2m16y Goo 15410/104projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-10ChepstowPaul O'Brien42nd6th−3
2026-09-26Market RasenPaul O'Brien33rd6th−2
2026-07-08FairyhouseJ M Sheridan?1st8th−6
2026-06-10LimerickDeclan McDonoghBHA664th11th−6
2026-05-08BallinrobeDeclan McDonogh?3rd12th−7
2026-04-19CurraghDeclan McDonoghBHA688th15th−6

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/1019/048/0710/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength29%

Delivery trend +4.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/10/202512th5/174%15%-0.58
27/10/202510th50/10%18%+0.18
05/11/20257th200/10%40%+0.40
19/04/20268th10/147%42%-0.06
08/05/20263rd5/287%67%-0.20
10/06/20264th5/174%77%+0.03
08/07/20261st11/893%100%+0.07
26/09/20263rd10/382%67%-0.16
10/10/20262nd11/142%90%+0.48