5

Sacre Chef

3yo Gelding · 11-0

Wetherby · Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Wensleydale Juvenile Hurdle (Listed) (GBB Race) · 2m

#2

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

17%

Place Prob

20%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Successful sole start on Flat in France. Showed plenty to work on (took strong hold) when 15½ lengths third behind Pass The Buck/lesser-fancied stablemate at Chepstow (2m, soft) on hurdling debut/return. Should last longer this time and very much unexposed on second start for a powerful yard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -3.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Chepstow 10/10/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 2m16y Goo 15410/104
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-10ChepstowHarry Skelton43rd7th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 50/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength54%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/10/20263rd9/488%80%-0.08