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8

Wicksey

3yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 105

Wetherby · Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Wensleydale Juvenile Hurdle (Listed) (GBB Race) · 2m

#3

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

12%

Place Prob

17%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair 3-time Flat winner (stays 1¾m). Beat a couple of next-time-out winners when successful on hurdling debut at Stratford (2m). Showcased an improvement in jumping when completing a simple task at Cartmel in August. Others have stronger form but he's open to further progress on hat-trick bid.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲4
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -4.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ York 25/07/2025 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR - · 7f Goo 13025/0735 @ Newcastle 26/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m5y Std 1336 @ Newcastle 04/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 51 · 1m2f42y Std 123 · beat its mark04/02/2026 · OR 51 par4/026OR 516 @ Newcastle 10/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 51 · 1m4f98y Std 129 · beat its mark10/02/2026 · OR 51 par6 @ Southwell 24/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 62 · 1m4f14y Std 135 · beat its mark24/02/2026 · OR 62 par24/026OR 624 @ York 14/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 68 · 1m3f188y Gd 123 · beat its mark14/05/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Redcar 26/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 3 · OR 68 · 1m5f218y Goo 130 · beat its mark26/05/2026 · OR 68 par26/055OR 684 @ Stratford 29/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 2m70y Goo 1544 @ Cartmel 31/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 2m1f46y Goo 15931/084projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31CartmelR P McLernon41st5th−3
2026-06-29StratfordR P McLernon41st5th−3
2026-05-26RedcarA Mullen52nd7th−4
2026-05-14YorkA Mullen49th13th−3
2026-02-24SouthwellA Mullen61st7th−5
2026-02-10NewcastleA Mullen61st7th−5

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0710/0226/0531/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength19%

Delivery trend -3.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/07/202516th66/10%0%0.00
26/11/20258th80/10%22%+0.22
04/02/20261st20/10%100%+1.00
10/02/20261st11/893%100%+0.07
24/02/20261st4/596%100%+0.04
14/05/20269th50/10%38%+0.38
26/05/20262nd2/189%50%-0.39
29/06/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
31/08/20261st7/491%100%+0.09